The interest rates of 10-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds all went down by about 5bp, while those of 24 interest-bearing treasury bonds went down by 4.9bp to 1.856%, and those of 24 CDB dropped by 5.25bp to 1.9175%.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: I'm not sure if we will cut interest rates in February. It will be necessary to pay attention to the slowdown in data, wages and demand. If the inflation rate does not drop, then we will face another problem.
On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 10, the Shanghai Composite Index opened higher and fell back by 1.58%, and the half-day turnover of the two cities exceeded 1.5 trillion. Yiming food has 11 boards, and Taier shares have 9 boards. You can understand one picture > >The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the interest rate at a 13-year high, suggesting that it has made progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintains the key interest rate at a 13-year high to cope with stubborn price pressure, while suggesting that it has made some progress in fighting inflation. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash interest rate unchanged at 4.35% on Tuesday. As widely expected, it has kept the interest rate at this level for more than a year. The Monetary Policy Committee said that "there is some confidence that inflation is moving towards the target in a sustainable way". Australian dollar and policy-sensitive 3-year Australian government bond yields fell. Since the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Australian dollar has fallen by about 3% against the US dollar, while Australian government bonds have risen due to the expectation of interest rate cuts as early as February next year.AUD/USD fell in the short term, and the intraday decline expanded to 0.8%, after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision.
Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.Hongya CNC: The income from exporting products to the US market is relatively low. Hongya CNC (002833) said on the interactive platform today that the company's products are exported to more than 70 countries and regions, and the income from the US market is relatively low.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13